We time the market

We don’t predict the market. We are purely share market trend followers. We offer three strategies for timing your exposure to the share market – ‘Active’, ‘Conservative’ and ‘Ultra-Conservative’. You choose the one which best suits your temperament and requirements.

We of course don’t know your personal financial circumstance, needs and objectives so we can’t provide you with personal investment advice. See a financial planner for that. Our purpose is confined to providing signals on when to enter and exit the Australian share market, so as to minimise exposure to crashes.

We use recognised technical indicators of the share market’s direction and momentum to gauge when it’s opportune to be in shares instead of cash. But not any shares! To limit individual stock risk we suggest shares (called exchange traded funds, or ETFs) which invest in the top 200 to 300 stocks which represent over 90% of the value of the share market. Such ETFs move in synch with the market as a whole.

The following chart shows how our Conservative Strategy would have signalled when to enter and when to exit the share market (as measured by the Australian All Ordinaries index) over the last six financial years. Red sections of the curve indicate when the strategy was signalling a ‘Sell’, and so when it was prudent to be ‘Out’ of the market. The blue sections of the curve indicate when the strategy was signalling a ‘Buy’, and so when it was opportune to be ‘In’ the market. No timing system is perfect, but as you can see our strategy typically kept us out of market crashes while ensuring participation in market rallies. 

Of course results from simulating how our strategies would have worked historically are not necessarily indicative of their future performance. But it’s reassuring that they would have performed well in both bull and bear markets.

We want to improve your chances of making capital gains without taking excessive risks with your hard earned savings. That means abandoning the roller-coaster ride of ‘buying and holding’ shares for an indefinite period regardless of market conditions. It means embracing modern market timing.

If you are interested in using our services please read our Financial Services Guide and the explanations contained in our "About Us" and "Q&A" pages. You need to do this so that you fully understand the benefits, costs and risks of using our 'Active', 'Conservative' and 'Ultra-Conservative' strategies and signals for timing the Australian share market.