Our Performance

Remember, we are share market trend followers. We don’t predict the market. To check out what we do, click here .

Strategy signal charts

The following Signals History Charts illustrate the change of signals under each of MarketTiming's strategies since 1 July 2004. Red sections of each curve indicate when the strategy was signalling a 'Sell', and so when it was prudent to be ‘Out’ of the market. The blue sections of each curve indicate when the strategy was signalling a 'Buy', and so when it was opportune to be ‘In’ the market.

The following charts are updated every six months (end-June and end-December). Subscribers can access charts that are updated every month by logging-on and going to the subscriber-only "History of signals" section under each of the strategy pages.

Evident are two different types of red or 'Sell' sections on each chart: (i) exits from the market during major market declines, and (ii) exits suggested by market falls that end up being reversed fairly quickly. The first type of 'Sell' signal is where market timing strategies excel. On the other hand, the second type of 'Sell' signal comes at a cost. In hindsight, this second type of 'Sell' or exit signal is in the nature of a false signal. However, at the time, there was no way of knowing this - and stepping out of the market at the time was necessary insurance against the possibility of a major market decline.

Summary performance tables

A one-page summary of the back-tested performance results for each of our strategies can be viewed below:

• Active Strategy
• Conservative Strategy
• Ultra-Conservative Strategy

These Tables are updated here every six months (end-June and end-December). Subscribers can access tables that are updated every month by logging-on and going to the subscriber-only "Performance against buy and hold" section under each of the strategy pages.

All performance results shown in tables and charts published by MarketTiming are calculated excluding both dividends received while in the market and interest received on cash balances when out of the market.

The results are based on the ASX All Ordinaries Index, and assume that the Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) vehicle used while in the market precisely matches movements in this index.

The buy and hold results assume investment is solely through such an ETF.

The market timing strategy results are calculated using the closing price the day following a new trading signal (for the Conservative and Active strategies) and four days following a new signal for the Ultra-Conservative strategy. They are after brokerage fees of the greater of $30 or 0.12% per trade.

All capital gains are assumed to be re-invested.

Back-tested data have been used to derive signals prior to December 2009, actual signals since.

The results shown are based upon data whose accuracy are deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Performance returns cited are derived from our best estimates but must be considered hypothetical in as much as we do not track the actual prices investors pay or receive when applying our signals.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance.